Gold Falls for Third Week, Silver for Fourth, US Bullion Coins Slower

by CoinNews.net on October 27, 2012 · 4 comments

Fine Gold and US $100 bills

Gold, silver and other precious metals this week were pressured by strength in the U.S. dollar

Gold edged lower Friday, extending to a third weekly decline with the latest totaling 0.7%.

Other precious metals also fell Friday and for the week. Weekly losses were 0.2% for silver, 4.3% for platinum and 4.4% for palladium. A stronger U.S. dollar and risk-adverse investment environment were pressuring catalysts.

"It’s all related to current risk-off trading," Peter Fertig, the owner of Quantitative Commodity Research Ltd. in Hainburg, Germany, said Friday by phone according to Bloomberg. "There’s a firmer U.S. dollar. Precious metals are part of the commodity complex," and can decline when other commodities fall, he said.

Gold for December delivery on Friday shed $1.10, or 0.1%, to settle at $1,711.90 an ounce on the Comex in New York. Intraday prices traded from a low of $1,701.40 to a high of $1,719.90.

Gold Prices Expected Higher Next Week

Gold surveys from a week ago showed cautiousness among precious metals dealers and traders. Many correctly forecasted this week’s lower prices. The latest weekly gold surveys are more bullish.

"In the Kitco News Gold Survey, out of 33 participants, 24 responded this week. Of those 24 participants, nine see prices up, while five see prices down, and 10 are neutral or see prices moving sideways," reports Kitco News.

"Those who see prices moving sideways or are neutral on price direction said there’s a fair amount of uncertainty still in the markets for next week and that could keep people on the sidelines and prices trapped in a range… Those who see higher prices said the yellow metal is due for a rebound…"

Bloomberg’s gold survey was the most bullish in three weeks. Fourteen participants expect higher gold prices next week. Nine were bearish and three neutral.

Silver, Platinum and Palladium Futures

In other New York bullion prices on Friday:

  • Silver for December delivery settled at $32.036 an ounce, dipping 4.2 cents or 0.1%. Silver traded between $31.60 and $32.38.

  • Platinum for January delivery declined $22.80, or 1.5%, to $1,546.00 an ounce, ranging from $1,540.90 to $1,579.50.

  • Palladium for December lost $9.10, or 1.5%, to $595.40 an ounce, trading between $594.50 and $609.15.

For the year-to-date, precious metals gains include gold at 9.3%, silver at 14.8% and platinum at 10.0%. Palladium has fallen 9.3% in 2012.

London Precious Metals Prices

In London, gold advanced slightly while other precious metals declined. When comparing the most recent London PM Fix prices:

  • Gold added 50 cents to $1,716.00 an ounce,
  • Silver fell 41.0 cents, or 1.3%, to $31.67 an ounce,
  • Platinum lost $11.00, or 0.7%, to $1,561.00 an ounce, and
  • Palladium dipped $1.00, or 0.2%, to $604.00 an ounce

As for the week, losses were 1.2% for gold, 2.0% for silver, 4.4% for platinum and 5.3% for palladium.

U.S. Mint Bullion Coin Sales in October

U.S. Mint bullion sales were a bit weaker for silver and down significantly for gold. Daily advances were contained to a modest two days, which has been a weekly maximum this month but mostly atypical for past weeks in 2012. Still, October will minimally end in the middle of the pack for monthly bullion sales this year.  In breaking down the numbers:

  • Gold coins advanced 10,000 ounces compared to the previous weekly total of 26,000 ounces. Splits were 7,500 ounces in 22-karat American Eagle gold coins and 2,500 ounces of 24-karat American Buffalo gold coins. Gold Eagle sales in October have overtaken the totals from February, April, July and August. Gold Buffalo sales are the highest since March.

  • Silver coins climbed 602,500 ounces versus the 632,500 ounces from last week. Splits were 567,500 ounces of American Silver Eagles and 35,000 ounces of America the Beautiful 5 Ounce Silver Bullion Coins. ATB sales were led by the newly released Denali bullion coin with buyers ordering 5,500 for 27,500 ounces. Silver Eagle sales in October have surpassed sales in February, March, April and July.

The following table provides the most recent daily, weekly, October and year-to-date bullion sales figures as published by the U.S. Mint.

Sales of US Mint American Eagle and Buffalo Bullion Coins
  Daily Sales Prior Week Weekly Sales October Sales YTD 2012
$50 American Eagle Gold Coins 0 23,000 5,500 44,500 455,000
$25 American Eagle Gold Coins 0 0 1,000 1,000 62,000
$10 American Eagle Gold Coins 0 2,000 2,000 4,000 66,000
$5 American Eagle Gold Coins 0 5,000 10,000 25,000 275,000
$50 American Buffalo Gold Coins 0 2,000 2,500 10,000 106,500
American Eagle Silver Coins 0 608,500 567,500 2,584,000 28,379,000

 

Sales of America the Beautiful 5 Oz. Silver Bullion Coins
  Daily Sales Prior Week Weekly Sales October Sales All-Time Total
2012 El Yunque National Forest 5 oz. Silver Bullion Coins 0 0 0 0 17,900
2012 Chaco Culture National Historical Park 5 oz. Silver Bullion Coins 0 0 0 1,000 18,200
2012 Acadia National Park 5 oz. Silver Bullion Coins 0 500 0 2,500 20,500
2012 Hawai’i Volcanoes 5 oz. Silver Bullion Coins 0 0 1,500 3,300 13,700
2012 Denali National Park 5 oz. Silver Bullion Coins 0 0 5,500 5,500 5,500
2011 Olympic National Park 5 oz. Silver Bullion Coins 0 0 0 0 85,900
2011 Vicksburg National Military Park 5 oz. Silver Bullion Coins 0 0 0 0 39,500
2011 Chickasaw Park 5 oz. Silver Bullion Coins 0 0 0 0 29,700
TOTAL 0 500 7,000 12,300 230,900

 

In related U.S. Mint news, weekly sales for other products are published in this coin news article.

{ 4 comments… read them below or add one }

jim October 27, 2012 at 3:16 pm

Sounds like with a lower price fewer are bought and with a higher the price more are bought. Don’t understand the logic in this.

Ed October 27, 2012 at 9:05 pm

Jim: The Mint will lower prices if metals continue to fall.

jim October 27, 2012 at 9:58 pm

Ed – I know that. I was commenting on how as the price falls the volume of sales falls too. I would expect that as prices fell sales would go up (they’re cheaper). Maybe the speculators think if the price goes up it will continue to go up so buy now and if the price goes down then don’t buy because they think it will continue to go down. Like I said, I don’t understand the logic in this.

Terry October 28, 2012 at 8:05 am

I think as the hype dies down about gold/silver/platinum going through the roof, the public’s interest wanes….and sales drop….Wall Street is the only place when there’s a sale nobody wants to buy. That includes the metals.

There are apt to be some great buying opportunities, especially if the Republicans take back the White House.

The “public” is always wrong…this is just another case in point.

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